Halesowen Town vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Grove, Halesowen, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Halesowen Town the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Leamington. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halesowen Town vs Leamington?
Halesowen Town starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Halesowen Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Halesowen Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2024 | Leamington 0-1 Halesowen Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Leamington 1-0 Halesowen Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Halesowen Town 0-0 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Halesowen Town 0-1 Leamington | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Leamington vs Halesowen Town on Aug 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Halesowen Town score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halesowen Town | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halesowen Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 2 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Halesowen Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halesowen Town vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Halesowen Town the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Halesowen Town vs Leamington played?
- Halesowen Town vs Leamington is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Grove, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 27, 2026Hitchin TownvsBury Town
- Oct 27, 2026AlvechurchvsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 27, 2026Banbury UnitedvsWorcester City
- Oct 27, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsStamford
- Oct 27, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsStratford Town
- Oct 27, 2026Needham MarketvsLeighton Town
- Oct 27, 2026Peterborough SportsvsLeiston
- Oct 27, 2026Kettering TownvsRushall Olympic