Alvechurch vs Peterborough Sports: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Peterborough Sports. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Peterborough Sports?
Alvechurch starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Peterborough Sports have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Alvechurch win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Peterborough Sports win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | Peterborough Sports 1-0 Alvechurch | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Peterborough Sports vs Alvechurch on Oct 29, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough Sports score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Peterborough Sports | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Peterborough Sports sit 20th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Peterborough Sports?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Peterborough Sports.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Peterborough Sports played?
- Alvechurch vs Peterborough Sports is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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