Stratford Town vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Arden Garages Stadium, Stratford-upon-Avon, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Stratford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stratford Town vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Stratford Town (1,764) and Leiston (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stratford Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stratford Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Leiston 1-1 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Stratford Town 2-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Leiston 1-0 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Stratford Town 3-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Leiston 2-0 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Stratford Town 3-4 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Stratford Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stratford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stratford Town sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stratford Town vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Stratford Town.
- Where and when is Stratford Town vs Leiston played?
- Stratford Town vs Leiston is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Arden Garages Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Hitchin TownvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 23, 2027StourbridgevsBury Town
- Jan 23, 2027AlvechurchvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 23, 2027Banbury UnitedvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Jan 23, 2027Needham MarketvsLeamington
- Jan 23, 2027Redditch UnitedvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 23, 2027Rushall OlympicvsLeighton Town
- Jan 23, 2027Kettering TownvsWorcester City