Kettering Town vs Worcester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Latimer Park, Kettering, Northamptonshire
The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Worcester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kettering Town vs Worcester City?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Kettering Town (1,852) and Worcester City (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kettering Town have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kettering Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Worcester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kettering Town 2-1 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Worcester City 1-1 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Kettering Town vs Worcester City on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kettering Town score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kettering Town | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kettering Town sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 2 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kettering Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kettering Town vs Worcester City?
- The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Worcester City.
- Where and when is Kettering Town vs Worcester City played?
- Kettering Town vs Worcester City is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Latimer Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Hitchin TownvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 23, 2027StourbridgevsBury Town
- Jan 23, 2027AlvechurchvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 23, 2027Banbury UnitedvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Jan 23, 2027Needham MarketvsLeamington
- Jan 23, 2027Redditch UnitedvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 23, 2027Rushall OlympicvsLeighton Town
- Jan 23, 2027Stratford TownvsLeiston