Needham Market vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Leamington?
Needham Market starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Needham Market win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | Needham Market 1-1 Leamington | National League - North |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Leamington 0-1 Needham Market | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Leamington 0-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Needham Market 2-1 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Needham Market vs Leamington on Feb 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Leamington played?
- Needham Market vs Leamington is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Hitchin TownvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 23, 2027StourbridgevsBury Town
- Jan 23, 2027AlvechurchvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 23, 2027Banbury UnitedvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Jan 23, 2027Redditch UnitedvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 23, 2027Rushall OlympicvsLeighton Town
- Jan 23, 2027Stratford TownvsLeiston
- Jan 23, 2027Kettering TownvsWorcester City