América de Pedrinhas vs Caninde: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes América de Pedrinhas the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Caninde. The most likely score is 1-1. If América de Pedrinhas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win América de Pedrinhas vs Caninde?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate América de Pedrinhas (1,442) and Caninde (1,432).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for América de Pedrinhas vs Caninde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
América de Pedrinhas
4-3-3- EEstênio
- GGeovane Curvelo Nascimento
- AAlef Correia Duarte da Silva
- MMarcelo Sorim
- BBruno Matos Vieira
- EEverton
- WWalef Felipe Cruz
- DDedé Baiano
- MMarquinhos
- JJosé Henrique Silva de Souza
- GGleisiel Sales de Jesus
Caninde
Not enough data to predict the Caninde lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 01:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, América de Pedrinhas have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Caninde have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Desportiva Aracaju(away) | 0-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Independente Simão Dias(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Boca Júnior(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Olímpico SE(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Caninde(home) | 0-3 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Independente Simão Dias(away) | 2-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Olímpico SE(home) | 1-7 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Flamengo SE(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | América de Pedrinhas(away) | 3-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Atlético Gloriense(home) | 0-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 América de Pedrinhas win, 0 draws, 1 Caninde win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | América de Pedrinhas 0-3 Caninde | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | América de Pedrinhas 4-1 Caninde | Sergipano - 2 |
Last archived meeting: América de Pedrinhas vs Caninde on Oct 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
América de Pedrinhas score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Caninde score 1.6 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América de Pedrinhas | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Caninde | 1.6 | 2.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about América de Pedrinhas vs Caninde?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for América de Pedrinhas vs Caninde?
- The Footlab AI model makes América de Pedrinhas the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Caninde.
- Where and when is América de Pedrinhas vs Caninde played?
- América de Pedrinhas vs Caninde is played on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.