Flamengo SE vs Carmópolis: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Flamengo SE the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Carmópolis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Flamengo SE wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,102 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flamengo SE vs Carmópolis?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Flamengo SE (1,402) and Carmópolis (1,417).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Flamengo SE vs Carmópolis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Flamengo SE
Not enough data to predict the Flamengo SE lineup.
Carmópolis
4-3-3- SSorriso
- AAllan Santos
- WWalisson
- KKennidy
- JJosé Éverton
- PPedro Victor Cardoso Sobral
- DDaniel Santos
- DDudu Paraíba
- TThierry
- FFelipe
- BBruno Mateus
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 09:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamengo SE have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Carmópolis have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 0-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Olímpico SE(away) | 1-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Atletico Central(home) | 1-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Caninde(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Desportiva Aracaju(home) | 0-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Guarany SE(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lagarto(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 15, 2025 | América SE(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Falcon(away) | 2-3 | Sergipano |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Barra SE(away) | 2-3 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Flamengo SE score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carmópolis score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo SE | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Carmópolis | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Flamengo SE vs Carmópolis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flamengo SE vs Carmópolis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flamengo SE the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Carmópolis.
- Where and when is Flamengo SE vs Carmópolis played?
- Flamengo SE vs Carmópolis is played on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.