America Mineiro vs Juventude: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
The Footlab model makes Juventude the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for America Mineiro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Juventude?
Juventude starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America Mineiro have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Juventude have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goias(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goias(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 America Mineiro win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Juventude win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Juventude 3-0 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Juventude 0-1 America Mineiro | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2022 | America Mineiro 4-1 Juventude | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Juventude 1-1 America Mineiro | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2021 | America Mineiro 1-1 Juventude | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2020 | America Mineiro 2-1 Juventude | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Juventude vs America Mineiro on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
America Mineiro score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Juventude score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Juventude | 1.1 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America Mineiro sit 19th in Serie B (11 points from 24 matches) and Juventude sit 2nd (42 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Juventude | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 42 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 42 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for America Mineiro vs Juventude?
- The Footlab model makes Juventude the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for America Mineiro.
- Where and when is America Mineiro vs Juventude played?
- America Mineiro vs Juventude is played on September 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.