Goias vs Atletico Goianiense: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Goias the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Atletico Goianiense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Goias (1,861) and Atletico Goianiense (1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goias have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Goianiense have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Goias win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Atletico Goianiense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Goias | Serie B |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Goias 0-0 Atletico Goianiense | Goiano - 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense 0-2 Goias | Goiano - 1 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Goias | Goiano - 1 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Goias 0-0 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| May 31, 2025 | Atletico Goianiense 1-2 Goias | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Goianiense vs Goias on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Goias score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Goianiense score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goias | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Atletico Goianiense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goias sit 10th in Serie B (33 points from 24 matches) and Atletico Goianiense sit 11th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Goias | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | Atletico Goianiense | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
- The Footlab model makes Goias the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Atletico Goianiense.
- Where and when is Goias vs Atletico Goianiense played?
- Goias vs Atletico Goianiense is played on September 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.