Amical Saint-Prex vs Bavois: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marcy, Saint-Prex
The Footlab model makes Amical Saint-Prex the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Bavois. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amical Saint-Prex vs Bavois?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Amical Saint-Prex (1,794) and Bavois (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amical Saint-Prex have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bavois have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | YF Juventus(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zürich II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 1-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bellinzona(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(away) | 0-6 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Amical Saint-Prex score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amical Saint-Prex | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amical Saint-Prex sit 9th in 1. Liga Promotion (6 points from 4 matches) and Bavois sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Amical Saint-Prex | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amical Saint-Prex vs Bavois?
- The Footlab model makes Amical Saint-Prex the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Bavois.
- Where and when is Amical Saint-Prex vs Bavois played?
- Amical Saint-Prex vs Bavois is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marcy, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.