Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford
The Footlab model makes Haverfordwest County AFC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Haverfordwest County AFC starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ammanford AFC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Haverfordwest County AFC have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ammanford AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Haverfordwest County AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | Ammanford AFC 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Welsh Cup |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Ammanford AFC 0-3 Haverfordwest County AFC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC 2-0 Ammanford AFC | Welsh Cup |
| Jul 13, 2021 | Ammanford AFC 1-2 Haverfordwest County AFC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2020 | Haverfordwest County AFC 2-0 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Nov 26, 2019 | Ammanford AFC 0-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC on Nov 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ammanford AFC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ammanford AFC sit 12th in Premier League (1 points from 4 matches) and Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Haverfordwest County AFC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC played?
- Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ammanford Recreation Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.