Colwyn Bay vs Ammanford AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy
The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Ammanford AFC?
Colwyn Bay starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colwyn Bay vs Ammanford AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colwyn Bay
4-3-3- 11J. Davies
- 9A. Davies
- 7J. Kenny
- 22D. Poole
- 8C. Bratley
- 16J. Williams
- 4N. Peate
- 5L. Sirrell
- 3S. Hart
- 2D. Roberts
- 1M. Halstead
Ammanford AFC
4-3-3- 8A. Orme
- 30J. M. Case
- 24J. Evans
- 2S. Woodhouse
- 10C. Thomas
- 22H. Rowe
- 5C. Bell
- 4G. Euros
- 26L. Davies
- 19O. Davies
- 99O. Williams
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ammanford AFC have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-9 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Cwmaman(away) | 4-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Colwyn Bay wins, 1 draw, 0 Ammanford AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammanford AFC 2-2 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ammanford AFC vs Colwyn Bay on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colwyn Bay score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ammanford AFC score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colwyn Bay | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ammanford AFC | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colwyn Bay sit 4th in Premier League (32 points from 16 matches) and Ammanford AFC sit 14th (12 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 32 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 12 |
A question about Colwyn Bay vs Ammanford AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colwyn Bay vs Ammanford AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Colwyn Bay vs Ammanford AFC played?
- Colwyn Bay vs Ammanford AFC is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Four Crosses Construction Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.