Barry Town vs Trefelin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab AI model makes Barry Town the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barry Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs Trefelin?
Barry Town starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,007 vs 1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barry Town vs Trefelin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barry Town
4-3-3- 7N. Daley
- 20E. Dugan
- 9J. Crosbie
- 2M. George
- 8D. Barton
- 21J. Shaw
- 3E. Williams
- 24W. Richards
- 4C. Sainty
- 16J. Lester
- 31G. Ratcliffe
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 14J. Jones
- 5S. MacDonald
- 20Bayan Aman
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Trefelin have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Barry Town wins, 0 draws, 0 Trefelin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | Trefelin 1-2 Barry Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Barry Town 2-1 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Barry Town 3-0 Trefelin | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Trefelin vs Barry Town on Feb 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Trefelin | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 6th in Premier League (25 points from 13 matches) and Trefelin sit 15th (6 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about Barry Town vs Trefelin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs Trefelin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barry Town the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs Trefelin played?
- Barry Town vs Trefelin is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.