Amorebieta vs Eibar II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano
The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Eibar II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Eibar II?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,895) and Eibar II (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Eibar II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Náxara(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ejea(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Amorebieta win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Eibar II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Amorebieta 2-0 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Eibar II 0-2 Amorebieta | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Amorebieta vs Eibar II on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta | 1.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Eibar II | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Eibar II?
- The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Eibar II.
- Where and when is Amorebieta vs Eibar II played?
- Amorebieta vs Eibar II is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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