Match

Compostela vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, Santiago de Compostela

CompostelaOurense CF

The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Compostela vs Ourense CF?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Compostela (1,885) and Ourense CF (1,906).

Compostela win43 %
Draw28 %
Ourense CF win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Compostela have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ourense CF have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Compostela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Badalona II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Badalona II(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Atlético Arteixo(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 31, 2026Atlético Arteixo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Pontevedra(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Tenerife(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026CF Talavera(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Celta de Vigo II(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Compostela win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Ourense CF win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2024Ourense CF 2-0 CompostelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 1, 2023Compostela 0-1 Ourense CFSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Feb 5, 2023Compostela 2-1 Ourense CFSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2022Ourense CF 1-1 CompostelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jul 30, 2022Compostela 0-0 Ourense CFFriendlies Clubs
Jan 5, 2020Ourense CF 2-2 CompostelaTercera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Ourense CF vs Compostela on Feb 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Compostela1.71.248/158/15
Ourense CF1.11.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Compostela vs Ourense CF?
The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ourense CF.
Where and when is Compostela vs Ourense CF played?
Compostela vs Ourense CF is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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