Atlético Astorga vs Arosa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Astorga wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Arosa?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,844) and Arosa (1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Astorga vs Arosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Arosa
4-3-3- 6M. Remeseiro
- 9J. Rivera
- 20A. Rey
- 8Antón Concheiro
- 15M. Arellano Jimenez
- 18H. Garcia
- 17Carlos Torrado
- 5S. Santos
- 4C. Pacheco
- 16X. Fraga
- 13A. Perez
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Arosa have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Portugalete(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Arosa | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Astorga sit 16th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 9 matches) and Arosa sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Arosa | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 8 |
| 16 | Atlético Astorga | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Atlético Astorga vs Arosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Arosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Arosa played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Arosa is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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