Match

Bergantiños vs Sestao River: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo

BergantiñosSestao River

The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bergantiños wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bergantiños vs Sestao River?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,933) and Sestao River (1,986).

37%28%35%
Bergantiños winDrawSestao River win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bergantiños vs Sestao River

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bergantiños

Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.

Sestao River

4-4-2
  1. 8Ander Laka
  2. 17A. Bengoetxea
  1. 16Josemi Castañeda
  2. 6E. Delgado
  3. 20Adri Carrión
  4. 21A. Arzak
  1. 22Markel Etxeberría
  2. 5Andoni Ugarte
  3. 3Gorri
  4. 15G. Argente
  1. 1Ander Iru

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sestao River have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bergantiños
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Ourense CF(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 24, 2026Eibar II(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Real Oviedo II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Arosa(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Coruxo(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sestao River
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Coruxo(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 27, 2026Espanyol(home)4-3Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Arosa(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Marino de Luanco(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 14, 2026Salamanca UDS(home)3-1Copa Federacion

How many goals should we expect?

Bergantiños score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bergantiños2.21.158/1511/15
Sestao River1.80.786/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bergantiños sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (18 points from 9 matches) and Sestao River sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Sestao River971111322
3Bergantiños9531201118

A question about Bergantiños vs Sestao River?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Sestao River?
The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sestao River.
Where and when is Bergantiños vs Sestao River played?
Bergantiños vs Sestao River is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bergantiños and Sestao River

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