Amorebieta vs Llanera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano
The Footlab AI model makes Llanera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llanera wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Llanera?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,899) and Llanera (1,979).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amorebieta vs Llanera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amorebieta
Not enough data to predict the Amorebieta lineup.
Llanera
Not enough data to predict the Llanera lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Llanera have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Racing Santander II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Llanera score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Llanera | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amorebieta sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Llanera sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Amorebieta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Llanera | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Amorebieta vs Llanera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Llanera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llanera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Amorebieta.
- Where and when is Amorebieta vs Llanera played?
- Amorebieta vs Llanera is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026CompostelavsBergantiños
- Nov 29, 2026CoruxovsGimnástica Torrelavega
- Nov 29, 2026PortugaletevsRacing Santander II
- Nov 29, 2026ArosavsReal Oviedo II
- Nov 29, 2026Ourense CFvsGernika
- Nov 29, 2026BasconiavsSestao River
- Nov 29, 2026Real Madrid IIIvsDeportivo Alavés II
- Nov 29, 2026Eibar IIvsMarino de Luanco