Ourense CF vs Gernika: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense
The Footlab AI model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ourense CF wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Gernika?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ourense CF (1,905) and Gernika (1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ourense CF vs Gernika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ourense CF
Not enough data to predict the Ourense CF lineup.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ourense CF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gernika have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ourense CF score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense CF | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ourense CF sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 6 matches) and Gernika sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ourense CF | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Gernika | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Ourense CF vs Gernika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ourense CF vs Gernika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Gernika.
- Where and when is Ourense CF vs Gernika played?
- Ourense CF vs Gernika is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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