Match

Arosa vs Real Oviedo II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa

ArosaReal Oviedo II

The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Real Oviedo II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arosa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arosa vs Real Oviedo II?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Arosa (1,976) and Real Oviedo II (2,017).

38%28%34%
Arosa winDrawReal Oviedo II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arosa vs Real Oviedo II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arosa

4-3-3
  1. 6M. Remeseiro
  2. 9J. Rivera
  3. 20A. Rey
  1. 8Antón Concheiro
  2. 15M. Arellano Jimenez
  3. 18H. Garcia
  1. 17Carlos Torrado
  2. 5S. Santos
  3. 4C. Pacheco
  4. 16X. Fraga
  1. 1C. Leobalde

Real Oviedo II

Not enough data to predict the Real Oviedo II lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Oviedo II have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arosa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Atlético Astorga(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 8, 2026Compostela(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 1, 2026Portugalete(away)3-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 27, 2026Pontevedra(home)2-0Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Sestao River(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Real Oviedo II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 15, 2026Gernika(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 8, 2026Coruxo(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 31, 2026Llanera(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 25, 2026Marino de Luanco(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Bergantiños(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Arosa score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Oviedo II score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arosa1.81.7310/1510/15
Real Oviedo II1.21.529/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arosa sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 11 matches) and Real Oviedo II sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Real Oviedo II10433131615
15Arosa1116417239

A question about Arosa vs Real Oviedo II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Real Oviedo II?
The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Real Oviedo II.
Where and when is Arosa vs Real Oviedo II played?
Arosa vs Real Oviedo II is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arosa and Real Oviedo II