Basconia vs Sestao River: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Artunduaga, Basauri
The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-1. If Basconia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basconia vs Sestao River?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Basconia (1,900) and Sestao River (1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Basconia vs Sestao River
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Basconia
Not enough data to predict the Basconia lineup.
Sestao River
Not enough data to predict the Sestao River lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basconia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Sestao River have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 4-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Basconia win, 1 draw, 1 Sestao River win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sestao River 2-2 Basconia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Basconia 3-1 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Basconia 2-3 Sestao River | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sestao River vs Basconia on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sestao River | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basconia sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 6 matches) and Sestao River sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sestao River | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Basconia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Basconia vs Sestao River?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basconia vs Sestao River?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sestao River.
- Where and when is Basconia vs Sestao River played?
- Basconia vs Sestao River is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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