Amurrio Club vs Eibar III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Basarte, Amurrio
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Amurrio Club. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar III wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,538 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amurrio Club vs Eibar III?
Eibar III starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,569).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amurrio Club vs Eibar III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amurrio Club
Not enough data to predict the Amurrio Club lineup.
Eibar III
Not enough data to predict the Eibar III lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amurrio Club have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Eibar III have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Amurrio Club score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar III score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amurrio Club | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Eibar III | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amurrio Club sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (1 point from 10 matches) and Eibar III sit 11th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Eibar III | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
A question about Amurrio Club vs Eibar III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amurrio Club vs Eibar III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Amurrio Club.
- Where and when is Amurrio Club vs Eibar III played?
- Amurrio Club vs Eibar III is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Basarte, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.