Real Sociedad III vs Beasain: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo José Luis Orbegozo, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad III the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Beasain. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad III vs Beasain?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Real Sociedad III (1,896) and Beasain (1,916).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad III vs Beasain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad III
Not enough data to predict the Real Sociedad III lineup.
Beasain
Not enough data to predict the Beasain lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad III have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Beasain have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 6-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Sociedad III wins, 4 draws, 0 Beasain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2023 | Real Sociedad III 1-0 Beasain | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Beasain 1-1 Real Sociedad III | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Beasain 2-2 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Real Sociedad III 1-0 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Beasain 4-4 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Real Sociedad III 0-0 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad III vs Beasain on Apr 16, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad III score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Beasain score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad III | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Beasain | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad III sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (18 points from 10 matches) and Beasain sit 12th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Sociedad III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 18 |
| 12 | Beasain | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Real Sociedad III vs Beasain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad III vs Beasain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad III the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Beasain.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad III vs Beasain played?
- Real Sociedad III vs Beasain is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo José Luis Orbegozo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.