San Ignacio vs Aretxabaleta: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos, Gasteiz
The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Aretxabaleta. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Ignacio wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Ignacio vs Aretxabaleta?
On Elo ratings, San Ignacio has 1,796 points and Aretxabaleta 1,756.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Ignacio vs Aretxabaleta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Ignacio
Not enough data to predict the San Ignacio lineup.
Aretxabaleta
Not enough data to predict the Aretxabaleta lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Ignacio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Aretxabaleta have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Amurrio Club(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 San Ignacio win, 1 draw, 2 Aretxabaleta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | San Ignacio 0-1 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Aretxabaleta 0-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | San Ignacio 4-1 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Aretxabaleta 1-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: San Ignacio vs Aretxabaleta on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Ignacio score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aretxabaleta score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Ignacio | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Aretxabaleta | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Ignacio sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 6 matches) and Aretxabaleta sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
A question about San Ignacio vs Aretxabaleta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Ignacio vs Aretxabaleta?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Aretxabaleta.
- Where and when is San Ignacio vs Aretxabaleta played?
- San Ignacio vs Aretxabaleta is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.