Ancona vs Notaresco: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio del Conero, Ancona
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Notaresco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ancona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ancona vs Notaresco?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Ancona (1,755) and Notaresco (1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ancona vs Notaresco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Notaresco
5-3-2- 10P. Banegas
- 17A. Mancini
- 9Mateus Ribeiro
- 7L. Marchionni
- 4L. Bianciardi
- 6I. Speranza
- 33M. Gallo
- 24R. Di Stefano
- 5G. Colombatti
- 13J. Di Saverio
- 1K. Shiba
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ancona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Notaresco have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ancona wins, 2 draws, 1 Notaresco win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Notaresco 1-2 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 10, 2026 | Ancona 1-3 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Ancona 1-1 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Notaresco 1-1 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ancona 3-1 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Notaresco 0-1 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Notaresco score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Notaresco | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ancona sit 4th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 7 matches) and Notaresco sit 6th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Notaresco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
A question about Ancona vs Notaresco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ancona vs Notaresco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Notaresco.
- Where and when is Ancona vs Notaresco played?
- Ancona vs Notaresco is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio del Conero, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.