Termoli Calcio vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gino Cannarsa, Termoli
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs L'Aquila?
L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Termoli Calcio vs L'Aquila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Termoli Calcio have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; L'Aquila have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Termoli Calcio wins, 1 draw, 5 L'Aquila wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila 5-2 Termoli Calcio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | L'Aquila 1-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Termoli Calcio 1-1 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 21, 2025 | L'Aquila 1-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 12, 2025 | L'Aquila 2-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 6, 2024 | L'Aquila 1-0 Termoli Calcio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: L'Aquila vs Termoli Calcio on Oct 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; L'Aquila score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| L'Aquila | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Termoli Calcio sit 12th in Serie D - Girone F (10 points from 8 matches) and L'Aquila sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Termoli Calcio vs L'Aquila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Termoli Calcio vs L'Aquila?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Termoli Calcio vs L'Aquila played?
- Termoli Calcio vs L'Aquila is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.