Fossombrone vs Real Giulianova: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, Fossombrone
The Footlab AI model makes Real Giulianova the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Giulianova wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fossombrone vs Real Giulianova?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Fossombrone (1,734) and Real Giulianova (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fossombrone vs Real Giulianova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Real Giulianova
Not enough data to predict the Real Giulianova lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fossombrone have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Giulianova have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fossombrone win, 1 draw, 1 Real Giulianova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real Giulianova 1-2 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Real Giulianova 3-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Fossombrone 1-1 Real Giulianova | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Real Giulianova vs Fossombrone on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fossombrone score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Giulianova score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossombrone | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Giulianova | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fossombrone sit 9th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 10 matches) and Real Giulianova sit 10th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fossombrone | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Fossombrone vs Real Giulianova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fossombrone vs Real Giulianova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Giulianova the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Fossombrone vs Real Giulianova played?
- Fossombrone vs Real Giulianova is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.