Vigor Senigallia vs Sporting Trestina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, Senigallia
The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vigor Senigallia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Sporting Trestina?
Vigor Senigallia starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,543).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vigor Senigallia vs Sporting Trestina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
Sporting Trestina
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Trestina lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Senigallia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting Trestina have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 4-6 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Vigor Senigallia win, 0 draws, 0 Sporting Trestina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sporting Trestina 2-5 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Trestina vs Vigor Senigallia on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vigor Senigallia score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Trestina score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigor Senigallia | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Sporting Trestina | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vigor Senigallia sit 5th in Serie D - Girone F (13 points from 7 matches) and Sporting Trestina sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Vigor Senigallia vs Sporting Trestina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vigor Senigallia vs Sporting Trestina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Vigor Senigallia vs Sporting Trestina played?
- Vigor Senigallia vs Sporting Trestina is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.