Anderlecht vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)
The Footlab AI model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Anderlecht wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Anderlecht (2,102) and Charleroi (2,075).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anderlecht vs Charleroi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anderlecht
4-4-2- 14D. Sikan
- 21T. Bentayeb
- 55M. Kana
- 30I. Koutsoupias
- 10M. Winkler
- 18L. Ambros
- 6L. Augustinsson
- 27L. Pétrot
- 79A. Maamar
- 50K. Barry
- 26C. Coosemans
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anderlecht have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Charleroi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Reims(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Anderlecht wins, 1 draw, 2 Charleroi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Anderlecht 1-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Charleroi 1-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Charleroi 0-1 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Anderlecht 0-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Charleroi 1-3 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Anderlecht 2-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Anderlecht vs Charleroi on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Anderlecht score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anderlecht sit 5th in Jupiler Pro League (16 points from 8 matches) and Charleroi sit 3rd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
A question about Anderlecht vs Charleroi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Charleroi.
- Where and when is Anderlecht vs Charleroi played?
- Anderlecht vs Charleroi is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.