Genk vs OH Leuven: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs OH Leuven?
Genk starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,081 vs 1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Genk vs OH Leuven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Genk
4-3-3- 17R. Durosinmi
- 10J. Ito
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 8B. Heynen
- 4B. Tahirović
- 38D. Heymans
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
OH Leuven
3-4-3- 18R. Mirisola
- 21W. Balikwisha
- 24Ł. Łakomy
- 27Óscar Gil
- 6W. George
- 8S. Schrijvers
- 99D. Opoku
- 3N. Dussenne
- 5J. Lawrence
- 34R. Nyakossi
- 1D. van den Heuvel
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; OH Leuven have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Genk wins, 1 draw, 1 OH Leuven win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | OH Leuven 0-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Genk 0-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Genk 2-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Genk 2-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | OH Leuven 3-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; OH Leuven score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| OH Leuven | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 8 matches) and OH Leuven sit 15th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Genk vs OH Leuven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs OH Leuven?
- The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is Genk vs OH Leuven played?
- Genk vs OH Leuven is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.