Match

Gent vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Planet Group Arena, Gent

GentSt. Truiden

The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gent wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gent vs St. Truiden?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Gent (2,098) and St. Truiden (2,031).

45%28%27%
Gent winDrawSt. Truiden win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gent vs St. Truiden

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gent

3-4-2-1
  1. 11M. Sonko
  1. 20Tiago Araújo
  2. 17M. Delorge-Knieper
  3. 27T. De Vlieger
  4. 57M. Volckaert
  5. 22Leonardo Lopes
  6. 45B. Goore
  1. 16C. Burgess
  2. 44S. Van der Heyden
  3. 3M. Paskotši
  1. 33D. Roef

St. Truiden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Baždar
  1. 8A. Sissako
  2. 10I. Sebaoui
  3. 14R. Merlen
  4. 71R. Araki
  5. 38K. Matsuzawa
  1. 60R. Vanwesemael
  2. 5S. Taniguchi
  3. 3T. Hata
  4. 26V. Musliu
  1. 16L. Kokubo

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gent have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; St. Truiden have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gent
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Aarhus(home)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 10, 2026Zulte Waregem(away)2-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 18, 2026Standard Liege(home)2-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026Genk(away)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 6, 2026Cercle Brugge(away)3-0Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Saburtalo(home)2-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026KV Mechelen(away)3-4Jupiler Pro League
Sep 20, 2026KVC Westerlo(home)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 12, 2026SK Beveren(away)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 5, 2026RAAL La Louvière(home)4-0Jupiler Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gent win, 3 draws, 2 St. Truiden wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026St. Truiden 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League
Apr 19, 2026Gent 0-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Nov 30, 2025Gent 1-2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Jul 27, 2025St. Truiden 3-1 GentJupiler Pro League
Dec 7, 2024Gent 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Oct 6, 2024St. Truiden 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs Gent on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gent score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gent1.40.596/155/15
St. Truiden1.51.746/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gent sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (22 points from 8 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Gent871015422
12St. Truiden822415168

A question about Gent vs St. Truiden?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gent vs St. Truiden?
The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for St. Truiden.
Where and when is Gent vs St. Truiden played?
Gent vs St. Truiden is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Group Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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