Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)
The Footlab AI model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Red Bull Salzburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Anderlecht wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
On Elo ratings, Anderlecht has 2,080 points and Red Bull Salzburg 2,205.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anderlecht
4-4-2- 14D. Sikan
- 9M. CvetkoviÄ
- 18L. Ambros
- 10M. Winkler
- 24E. Llansana
- 55M. Kana
- 6L. Augustinsson
- 27L. Pétrot
- 79A. Maamar
- 12A. Omobamidele
- 26C. Coosemans
Red Bull Salzburg
4-2-3-1- 9H. Tabaković
- 32A. Barry
- 15B. Mazurek
- 20E. Baidoo
- 11Y. Vertessen
- 8S. Kitano
- 31D. Schmid
- 44K. Boma
- 18N. Veratschnig
- 47Valentin Zabransky
- 52Christian Zawieschitzky
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anderlecht have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Red Bull Salzburg have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Reims(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Genk(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Ried(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Anderlecht score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Red Bull Salzburg score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anderlecht sit 22nd in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Red Bull Salzburg sit 14th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Red Bull Salzburg.
- Where and when is Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg played?
- Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.