Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Levski Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Levski Sofia (1,990) and Jagiellonia (1,983).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7Reinaldo
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 17Everton Bala
- 20Álex Centelles
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 3Maicon
- 21Aldair
- 50K. Dimitrov
- 92S. Vutsov
Jagiellonia
4-2-3-1- 99N. Prelec
- 7K. Szmyt
- 11Jesús Imaz
- 21Sergio Lozano
- 30O. Sow
- 14H. Finndell
- 5Bernardo Vital
- 27Rodrigo Conceição
- 4Y. Kobayashi
- 2C. Polak
- 50S. Abramowicz
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Jagiellonia have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Jagiellonia | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia sit 27th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Jagiellonia sit 21st (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Jagiellonia.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia played?
- Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.