Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Sparta Praha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bournemouth wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sparta Praha (2,153) and Bournemouth (2,205).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1- 14J. Braut Brunes
- 38H. Sochurek
- 27E. Singhateh
- 18A. Irving
- 31M. Jurásek
- 20S. Mannsverk
- 6T. Guddal
- 2M. Suchomel
- 19A. Ševínský
- 15V. Vitályos
- 44J. Surovčík
Bournemouth
4-4-2- 9Evanilson
- 30Á. Rodríguez
- 16M. Tavernier
- 12T. Adams
- 4L. Cook
- 11B. Doak
- 14António Silva
- 15A. Smith
- 18B. Diakité
- 6J. Soler
- 1Đ. Petrović
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Bournemouth have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bournemouth score 2.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 2.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Bournemouth | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 11th in UEFA Europa League (4 points from 2 matches) and Bournemouth sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bournemouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
A question about Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Sparta Praha.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth played?
- Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.