Lillestrom vs Plzen: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller
The Footlab AI model makes Plzen the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Lillestrom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plzen wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Plzen starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (2,124 vs 2,013).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lillestrom vs Plzen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1- 8F. Gulbrandsen
- 20Vá
- 14G. Nyheim
- 21F. Ottosson
- 17E. Kitolano
- 22D. Bassi
- 2L. Ranger
- 11F. Elkær
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 5S. Foss
- 12P. Dahlberg
Plzen
4-2-3-1- 25C. Kabongo
- 17P. Hrošovský
- 99A. Memić
- 12A. Sojka
- 36S. PirgiÄ
- 19C. Souaré
- 14Merchas Doski
- 40S. Dweh
- 98F. Prebsl
- 29A. Gabriel
- 44F. Wiegele
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillestrom have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Plzen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 2-3 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Lillestrom score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Plzen score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Plzen | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillestrom sit 23rd in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Plzen sit 34th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Plzen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plzen the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Lillestrom.
- Where and when is Lillestrom vs Plzen played?
- Lillestrom vs Plzen is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Åråsen Stadion, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.