Match

Anderlecht vs Sunderland: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 21, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)

AnderlechtSunderland

The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Anderlecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Anderlecht vs Sunderland?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Anderlecht (2,087) and Sunderland (2,145).

34%28%38%
Anderlecht winDrawSunderland win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Anderlecht vs Sunderland

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Anderlecht

4-4-2
  1. 14D. Sikan
  2. 21T. Bentayeb
  1. 18L. Ambros
  2. 10M. Winkler
  3. 55M. Kana
  4. 30I. Koutsoupias
  1. 6L. Augustinsson
  2. 27L. Pétrot
  3. 79A. Maamar
  4. 12A. Omobamidele
  1. 26C. Coosemans

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
  1. 18W. Isidor
  1. 34G. Xhaka
  2. 28E. Le Fée
  3. 27N. Sadiki
  4. 10N. Angulo
  5. 12T. Meunier
  1. 20N. Mukiele
  2. 4K. Danso
  3. 17Reinildo
  4. 32T. Hume
  1. 22R. Roefs

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:53 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anderlecht have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Sunderland have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Anderlecht
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cercle Brugge(away)2-1Jupiler Pro League
Oct 2, 2026Reims(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Zulte Waregem(home)3-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 16, 2026Lyon(home)1-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 11, 2026KV Mechelen(away)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sunderland
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Brighton(home)0-2Premier League
Sep 20, 2026Manchester City(away)3-5Premier League
Sep 16, 2026AZ Alkmaar(home)1-0UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026Arsenal(home)0-2Premier League
Sep 8, 2026Hull City(home)1-0League Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Anderlecht score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Anderlecht1.70.785/1510/15
Sunderland1.51.357/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Anderlecht sit 22nd in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Sunderland sit 16th (3 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Sunderland1100103
22Anderlecht1001120

A question about Anderlecht vs Sunderland?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Sunderland?
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Anderlecht.
Where and when is Anderlecht vs Sunderland played?
Anderlecht vs Sunderland is played on January 21, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Anderlecht and Sunderland

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