Sunderland vs Coventry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Coventry. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Coventry?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Sunderland (2,101) and Coventry (2,072).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Coventry
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 27N. Sadiki
- 10N. Angulo
- 12T. Meunier
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 32T. Hume
- 22R. Roefs
Coventry
4-2-3-1- 49S. Cherif
- 6M. Grimes
- 5J. Rudoni
- 10E. Mason-Clark
- 8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
- 23B. Thomas-Asante
- 4B. Thomas
- 3J. Dasilva
- 2E. Pinnock
- 27M. van Ewijk
- 19C. Rushworth
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Coventry have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sunderland win, 3 draws, 2 Coventry wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Sunderland 1-1 Coventry | Championship |
| May 9, 2025 | Coventry 1-2 Sunderland | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Coventry 3-0 Sunderland | Championship |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Sunderland 2-2 Coventry | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Sunderland 0-3 Coventry | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Coventry 0-0 Sunderland | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Coventry on May 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coventry score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Coventry | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 17th in Premier League (4 points from 6 matches) and Coventry sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Sunderland vs Coventry?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Coventry?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Coventry.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Coventry played?
- Sunderland vs Coventry is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.