Angers vs Lens: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
The Footlab model makes Lens the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Angers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angers vs Lens?
Lens starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (2,180 vs 1,893).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angers have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lens have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 5-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-0 | Trophée des Champions |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 3-1 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Angers win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Lens win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Lens 5-1 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Angers 1-2 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Lens 1-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Angers 0-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Lens 3-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Angers 1-2 Lens | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Angers score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lens score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Lens | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angers sit 16th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Lens sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Angers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angers vs Lens?
- The Footlab model makes Lens the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Angers.
- Where and when is Angers vs Lens played?
- Angers vs Lens is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Raymond-Kopa, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.