Angers vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
The Footlab model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Angers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angers vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain is a heavy favourite: 2,293 Elo points against 1,893 — a 400-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angers have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lens(away) | 0-1 | Trophée des Champions |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Super Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Angers win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Paris Saint Germain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Angers 0-3 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Angers 2-4 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Angers 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Angers vs Paris Saint Germain on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Angers score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angers sit 16th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Angers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angers vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Angers.
- Where and when is Angers vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Angers vs Paris Saint Germain is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Raymond-Kopa, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.