Rennes vs Lens: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Roazhon Park, Rennes
The Footlab model makes Lens the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Rennes. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rennes vs Lens?
Lens starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,180 vs 2,032).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rennes have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Lens have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 5-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-0 | Trophée des Champions |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 3-1 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rennes win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Lens win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lens 3-1 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Rennes 0-0 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Lens 1-0 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Rennes 1-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2024 | Rennes 1-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Lens 1-1 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rennes score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lens score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
| Lens | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rennes sit 8th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Lens sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rennes vs Lens?
- The Footlab model makes Lens the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Rennes.
- Where and when is Rennes vs Lens played?
- Rennes vs Lens is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Roazhon Park, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.