Oyonesa vs San Marcial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Oion Arena, Oyón (Oion)
The Footlab AI model makes Oyonesa the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for San Marcial. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oyonesa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,172 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oyonesa vs San Marcial?
Oyonesa starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,738).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oyonesa vs San Marcial
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oyonesa
Not enough data to predict the Oyonesa lineup.
San Marcial
Not enough data to predict the San Marcial lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oyonesa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; San Marcial have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Berceo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Comillas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Varea(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vianés(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Casalarreina(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cenicero(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Oyonesa wins, 0 draws, 0 San Marcial wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | San Marcial 1-2 Oyonesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Oyonesa 2-1 San Marcial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: San Marcial vs Oyonesa on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oyonesa score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Marcial score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oyonesa | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| San Marcial | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oyonesa sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (8 points from 6 matches) and San Marcial sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | San Marcial | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | Oyonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Oyonesa vs San Marcial?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oyonesa vs San Marcial?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oyonesa the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for San Marcial.
- Where and when is Oyonesa vs San Marcial played?
- Oyonesa vs San Marcial is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Oion Arena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.