Match

Ankaraspor vs Somaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, Sincan

AnkarasporSomaspor

The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ankaraspor vs Somaspor?

Ankaraspor starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,537).

Ankaraspor win59 %
Draw21 %
Somaspor win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaraspor have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Somaspor have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ankaraspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)1-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Karaman FK(home)5-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)3-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Altınordu(away)0-12. Lig
Somaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Bursaspor(away)1-52. Lig
Apr 12, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Menemen FK(away)1-22. Lig
Mar 28, 2026Kırklarelispor(home)2-02. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Ankaraspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Somaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 5, 2023Somaspor 0-1 Ankaraspor2. Lig
Sep 24, 2022Ankaraspor 0-3 Somaspor2. Lig
Apr 24, 2022Somaspor 0-1 Ankaraspor2. Lig
Dec 11, 2021Ankaraspor 1-0 Somaspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Somaspor vs Ankaraspor on Mar 5, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Ankaraspor score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ankaraspor1.82.1012/1510/15
Somaspor1.31.658/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ankaraspor sit 10th in 2. Lig (52 points from 36 matches) and Somaspor sit 15th (30 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Ankaraspor36131310645452
15Somaspor348620416830

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ankaraspor vs Somaspor?
The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Somaspor.
Where and when is Ankaraspor vs Somaspor played?
Ankaraspor vs Somaspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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