Match

Aliağa FAŞ vs Şanlıurfaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa

Aliağa FAŞŞanlıurfaspor

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Şanlıurfaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Şanlıurfaspor?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Aliağa FAŞ (1,796) and Şanlıurfaspor (1,757).

Aliağa FAŞ win49 %
Draw24 %
Şanlıurfaspor win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Şanlıurfaspor have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aliağa FAŞ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Bursaspor(home)0-52. Lig
Apr 19, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Menemen FK(home)5-02. Lig
Şanlıurfaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muğlaspor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Ankaraspor(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Kastamonuspor(home)5-22. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aliağa FAŞ2.11.758/1511/15
Şanlıurfaspor1.51.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th in 2. Lig (69 points from 34 matches) and Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th (65 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Aliağa FAŞ342167813269
5Şanlıurfaspor361989634365

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Şanlıurfaspor?
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Şanlıurfaspor.
Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Şanlıurfaspor played?
Aliağa FAŞ vs Şanlıurfaspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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