Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, Derince
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Güzide Gebzespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor?
Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Güzide Gebzespor have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Elazığspor have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fethiyespor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Güzide Gebzespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Elazığspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Elazığspor 1-0 Güzide Gebzespor | 2. Lig |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Güzide Gebzespor 1-1 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Elazığspor 0-1 Güzide Gebzespor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Güzide Gebzespor 2-0 Elazığspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Elazığspor vs Güzide Gebzespor on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Güzide Gebzespor | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th in 2. Lig (58 points from 34 matches) and Elazığspor sit 3rd (69 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
| 7 | Güzide Gebzespor | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 31 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Güzide Gebzespor.
- Where and when is Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor played?
- Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026AnkarasporvsSomaspor
- Sep 27, 2026Adana DemirsporvsErbaaspor
- Sep 27, 2026HataysporvsArnavutköy Belediyespor
- Sep 27, 2026Muş Sport Klübüvs68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- Sep 27, 2026Aliağa FAŞvsŞanlıurfaspor
- Sep 27, 2026İnegöl Kafkas GençlikvsKastamonuspor
- Sep 27, 2026Sebat GençliksporvsMenemen FK
- Sep 27, 2026Çorluspor 1947vsIsparta 32 Spor