Match

Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, Derince

Güzide GebzesporElazığspor

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Güzide Gebzespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor?

Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,674).

Güzide Gebzespor win22 %
Draw24 %
Elazığspor win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Güzide Gebzespor have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Elazığspor have 12, 3 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Güzide Gebzespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Ankara Demirspor(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Mardin 1969(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Fethiyespor(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Mar 29, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)1-02. Lig
Elazığspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
May 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)4-22. Lig
Apr 25, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-02. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Güzide Gebzespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Elazığspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 26, 2025Elazığspor 1-0 Güzide Gebzespor2. Lig
Sep 8, 2024Güzide Gebzespor 1-1 Elazığspor2. Lig
Apr 12, 2023Elazığspor 0-1 Güzide Gebzespor3. Lig - Group 1
Nov 13, 2022Güzide Gebzespor 2-0 Elazığspor3. Lig - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Elazığspor vs Güzide Gebzespor on Jan 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Güzide Gebzespor1.51.157/157/15
Elazığspor2.30.787/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th in 2. Lig (58 points from 34 matches) and Elazığspor sit 3rd (69 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elazığspor362169823769
7Güzide Gebzespor3416108563158

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor?
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Güzide Gebzespor.
Where and when is Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor played?
Güzide Gebzespor vs Elazığspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Güzide Gebzespor and Elazığspor

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