Match

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl

İnegöl Kafkas GençlikKastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik (1,668) and Kastamonuspor (1,653).

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win45 %
Draw25 %
Kastamonuspor win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Bursa Yıldırımspor(home)3-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Kestel Çilek(away)2-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Galata(away)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026Beykoz İshaklıspor(home)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026İnkılapspor(away)1-33. Lig - Group 1
Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik1.60.9510/158/15
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor?
The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor played?
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik and Kastamonuspor

Ready to know everything about football?