İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl
The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik (1,668) and Kastamonuspor (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Galata(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor?
- The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor played?
- İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Kastamonuspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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