Match

Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cropston Road, Leicester, Leicestershire

Anstey NomadsNeedham Market

The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market?

Anstey Nomads starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,922 vs 1,768).

Anstey Nomads win57 %
Draw23 %
Needham Market win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anstey Nomads have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Anstey Nomads
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leighton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Leamington(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Leiston(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Wellingborough Town(home)1-0Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Needham Market
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Halesowen Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Alvechurch(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Hitchin Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Banbury United(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central

How many goals should we expect?

Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Anstey Nomads2.40.677/158/15
Needham Market1.41.338/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Anstey Nomads sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 2 matches) and Needham Market sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Needham Market3102463
15Anstey Nomads2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market?
The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Needham Market.
Where and when is Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market played?
Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cropston Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Anstey Nomads and Needham Market

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