Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cropston Road, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market?
Anstey Nomads starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,922 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anstey Nomads have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wellingborough Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anstey Nomads | 2.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anstey Nomads sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 2 matches) and Needham Market sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market?
- The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Needham Market.
- Where and when is Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market played?
- Anstey Nomads vs Needham Market is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cropston Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027StamfordvsBanbury United
- Jan 16, 2027Bury TownvsAlvechurch
- Jan 16, 2027Halesowen TownvsKettering Town
- Jan 16, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsRedditch United
- Jan 16, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsReal Bedford
- Jan 16, 2027LeistonvsRacing Club Warwick
- Jan 16, 2027Peterborough SportsvsHitchin Town
- Jan 16, 2027LeamingtonvsStratford Town