Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Kayserispor the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Antalyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Antalyaspor (1,795) and Kayserispor (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antalyaspor have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Kayserispor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 4-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-4 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Antalyaspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kayserispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Kayserispor 1-0 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Antalyaspor 1-1 Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
| May 12, 2025 | Kayserispor 3-1 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Antalyaspor 2-0 Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Kayserispor 1-1 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Antalyaspor 1-1 Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Antalyaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kayserispor score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Kayserispor | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antalyaspor sit 13th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Kayserispor sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor?
- The Footlab model makes Kayserispor the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Antalyaspor.
- Where and when is Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor played?
- Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor is played on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Corendon Airlines Park, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.