Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Pendikspor the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Pendikspor (1,819) and Vanspor FK (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pendikspor have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Vanspor FK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pendikspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Vanspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Pendikspor 1-1 Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Vanspor FK 1-1 Pendikspor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 18, 2021 | Vanspor FK 2-0 Pendikspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Pendikspor 3-5 Vanspor FK | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pendikspor score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pendikspor sit 10th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Vanspor FK sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pendikspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Pendikspor the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK played?
- Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK is played on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.