Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aktepe Stadı, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Iğdır FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Keçiörengücü (1,859) and Iğdır FK (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keçiörengücü have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Iğdır FK have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-4 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Amed(home) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Keçiörengücü win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Iğdır FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Iğdır FK 0-1 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Keçiörengücü 1-2 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Iğdır FK 3-0 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Keçiörengücü 2-0 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Iğdır FK vs Keçiörengücü on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keçiörengücü score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Iğdır FK score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keçiörengücü | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Iğdır FK | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keçiörengücü sit 8th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Iğdır FK sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Keçiörengücü | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
- The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Iğdır FK.
- Where and when is Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK played?
- Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK is played on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aktepe Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.