Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, Bandırma
The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Sivasspor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Bandırmaspor (1,873) and Sivasspor (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bandırmaspor have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Sivasspor have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Bandırmaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Sivasspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Bandırmaspor 1-0 Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Sivasspor 2-0 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Bandırmaspor 2-4 Sivasspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 7, 2017 | Sivasspor 3-0 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Bandırmaspor 0-1 Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bandırmaspor score 1.1 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sivasspor score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor | 1.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Sivasspor | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bandırmaspor sit 7th in 1. Lig (5 points from 3 matches) and Sivasspor sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bandırmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 16 | Sivasspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Sivasspor.
- Where and when is Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor played?
- Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor is played on October 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.